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Winchester city, Virginia Tropical Cyclone History

No active tropical cyclones are within 500 miles of Winchester city, Virginia as of Thursday, 10 September 2026. Official forecasts at nhc.noaa.gov.

Since 1876, 15 tropical cyclones have passed within 50 miles of Winchester city, Virginia — about one every 10.0 years. Of those, 1 were at hurricane strength at their closest approach. The most recent was Dennis (1999), which passed 11 miles away on 7 September 1999.

15
Storms within 50 mi
1
At hurricane strength
10.0
Avg. years between
27
Years since the last

Storm tracks within 50 miles

Winchester city
TS / TDCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Each line is one storm track, coloured by the strongest category it reached while within 50 miles. The dashed ring marks that 50-mile radius; hairlines are one-degree graticule. Source: NOAA NHC HURDAT2.

How strong they get

Cat 1 · 1TS / TD · 14
The 15 storms by the strongest category each reached while within 50 miles. 1 of them reached Cat 1.

Key facts

When storms arrive

6
JFMAMJJASOND
Storms by month of closest approach; the peak is highlighted and labelled. In Winchester city, Virginia, August is the most active month, with 6 of the 15 recorded storms (40%). The primary season runs August to October, accounting for 93% of all activity. The 1890s was the most active decade on record, with 3 storms. 0 of the 15 storms were major hurricanes (Category 3 or stronger) while within 50 miles.
JFMAMJJASOND
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Activity by decade

3
1900
Tropical cyclones passing within 50 miles, by decade, 1870s to 1990s. Decades with no storms are shown as empty columns. Comparing two equal 38-year windows inside the aircraft-reconnaissance era: 4 storms in 1950–1987 against 2 in 1988–2025.
1870s1880s1890s1900s1910s1920s1930s1940s1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s
1130111120112

Every tropical or subtropical cyclone within 50 miles

StormClosest approachDistanceStatusWind
Dennis (1999)7 Sep 199911.4 miTS / TD20 kt
Beryl (1994)18 Aug 19941.4 miTS / TD15 kt
Bret (1981)1 Jul 198149.7 miTS / TD20 kt
David (1979)6 Sep 197917.4 miTS / TD40 kt
Diane (1955)18 Aug 195522.3 miTS / TD39 kt
Able (1952)1 Sep 195231.2 miTS / TD48 kt
Unnamed Storm (1949)29 Aug 194919.4 miTS / TD50 kt
Unnamed Storm (1939)19 Aug 193921.7 miTS / TD30 kt
Unnamed Storm (1927)4 Oct 192745.8 miTS / TD25 kt
Unnamed Storm (1915)4 Aug 191541.6 miTS / TD40 kt
Unnamed Storm (1893)23 Oct 189347.8 miTS / TD36 kt
Unnamed Storm (1893)14 Oct 189315.8 miCat 164 kt
Unnamed Storm (1893)29 Aug 189337.6 miTS / TD55 kt
Unnamed Storm (1883)13 Sep 188344.7 miTS / TD30 kt
Unnamed Storm (1876)18 Sep 187633.5 miTS / TD57 kt

Post-tropical and extratropical passes

A further 8 systems passed within 50 miles after losing tropical characteristics. These are excluded from the counts above because they were no longer tropical cyclones at their closest approach — but several were highly damaging, so they are listed here.

StormStatusClosest approachDistanceWind
Ida (2021)Post-tropical1 Sep 20219.0 mi31 kt
Cindy (2017)Remnant low24 Jun 201725.7 mi25 kt
Chris (1988)Post-tropical29 Aug 198822.6 mi20 kt
Hazel (1954)Post-tropical15 Oct 195441.7 mi73 kt
Unnamed Storm (1934)Post-tropical19 Jun 193417.9 mi40 kt
Unnamed Storm (1928)Post-tropical20 Sep 192818.6 mi43 kt
Unnamed Storm (1896)Post-tropical30 Sep 189628.4 mi60 kt
Unnamed Storm (1885)Post-tropical13 Oct 188514.9 mi40 kt
About this data. Computed from NOAA's HURDAT2 Atlantic and Northeast Pacific hurricane databases (hurdat2-1851-2025-02272026.txt), covering 1876–2025. Tracks are recorded every six hours and are interpolated to one-hour steps before distances are measured, so closest-approach figures are not distorted by the sampling interval. Distances are measured to the county's Census internal point, not to its nearest boundary, so a storm listed at 55 miles may still have crossed the coastline — see Methodology. Records before about 1900 are sparser and less precise than modern ones, and storms that stayed at sea were less likely to be recorded at all.

How Winchester city, Virginia compares

Among the 2,208 U.S. counties and county-equivalents that have recorded at least one tropical cyclone within 50 miles, Winchester city, Virginia ranks #1,028 — more exposed than 53.4% of them. Within Virginia it ranks #104 of 133, against a state average of 23.5 storms per county.

Notable storms

13 of the 15 storms made a documented landfall somewhere along their track.

How often to expect a storm

A return interval of 10.0 years does not mean storms arrive on a schedule. It is simply 15 storms spread over the 150 years from 1876 to 2025. 1 separate year saw more than one storm pass within 50 miles while decades have gone by with none. The longest recorded quiet stretch was 24 years, between 1955 and 1979. It has been 26 years since the last one; 0 of the 12 gaps in this record were longer than that.

Common questions

How many hurricanes have hit Winchester city, Virginia?

1 tropical cyclones have passed within 50 miles of Winchester city, Virginia at hurricane strength since 1876. Counting all tropical cyclones — including tropical storms and depressions — the total is 15.

When was the last hurricane in Winchester city, Virginia?

Unnamed Storm (1893), on 14 October 1893, passing 16 miles away — 133 years ago. The most recent tropical cyclone of any strength was Dennis (1999) in 1999.

What was the strongest storm to affect Winchester city, Virginia?

Unnamed Storm (1893), which reached 65 kt (75 mph) while within 50 miles; its closest approach was 16 miles.

How often do hurricanes hit Winchester city, Virginia?

On average, one tropical cyclone passes within 50 miles every 10.0 years — 15 storms over the 150 years from 1876 to 2025, the end of the HURDAT2 record. That is a historical average, not a schedule or a forecast.

Nearby counties

Winchester city, Virginia borders or sits close to 5 other counties with a published storm record. Washington County, Maryland has 17 on record.