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Madison County, Virginia Hurricane History

No active tropical cyclones are within 500 miles of Madison County, Virginia as of Thursday, 10 September 2026. Official forecasts at nhc.noaa.gov.

Since 1876, 17 tropical cyclones have passed within 50 miles of Madison County, Virginia — about one every 8.8 years. Of those, 3 were at hurricane strength at their closest approach. The most recent was Ivan (2004), which passed 39 miles away on 18 September 2004.

17
Storms within 50 mi
3
At hurricane strength
8.8
Avg. years between
22
Years since the last

Storm tracks within 50 miles

Madison County
TS / TDCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Each line is one storm track, coloured by the strongest category it reached while within 50 miles. The dashed ring marks that 50-mile radius; hairlines are one-degree graticule. Source: NOAA NHC HURDAT2.

How strong they get

Cat 1 · 1TS / TD · 16
The 17 storms by the strongest category each reached while within 50 miles. 1 of them reached Cat 1.

Key facts

When storms arrive

8
JFMAMJJASOND
Storms by month of closest approach; the peak is highlighted and labelled. In Madison County, Virginia, September is the most active month, with 8 of the 17 recorded storms (47%). The primary season runs July to September, accounting for 94% of all activity. The 1890s was the most active decade on record, with 3 storms. 0 of the 17 storms were major hurricanes (Category 3 or stronger) while within 50 miles.
JFMAMJJASOND
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Activity by decade

3
19002000
Tropical cyclones passing within 50 miles, by decade, 1870s to 2000s. Decades with no storms are shown as empty columns. Comparing two equal 38-year windows inside the aircraft-reconnaissance era: 5 storms in 1950–1987 against 4 in 1988–2025.
1870s1880s1890s1900s1910s1920s1930s1940s1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s
11301011202122

Every tropical or subtropical cyclone within 50 miles

StormClosest approachDistanceStatusWind
Ivan (2004)18 Sep 200438.9 miTS / TD15 kt
Isabel (2003)19 Sep 200324.6 miTS / TD52 kt
Dennis (1999)7 Sep 199913.5 miTS / TD20 kt
Beryl (1994)18 Aug 199443.2 miTS / TD15 kt
Bret (1981)1 Jul 198112.4 miTS / TD22 kt
David (1979)6 Sep 197934.8 miTS / TD40 kt
Bob (1979)14 Jul 197919.0 miTS / TD20 kt
Diane (1955)18 Aug 19554.8 miTS / TD42 kt
Able (1952)1 Sep 19526.7 miTS / TD46 kt
Unnamed Storm (1949)29 Aug 194913.6 miTS / TD50 kt
Unnamed Storm (1939)19 Aug 193932.5 miTS / TD30 kt
Unnamed Storm (1915)4 Aug 191515.0 miTS / TD40 kt
Unnamed Storm (1896)30 Sep 189627.6 miTS / TD63 kt
Unnamed Storm (1893)14 Oct 189322.1 miCat 165 kt
Unnamed Storm (1893)29 Aug 18934.2 miTS / TD55 kt
Unnamed Storm (1883)13 Sep 188341.7 miTS / TD30 kt
Unnamed Storm (1876)18 Sep 187648.1 miTS / TD58 kt

Post-tropical and extratropical passes

A further 10 systems passed within 50 miles after losing tropical characteristics. These are excluded from the counts above because they were no longer tropical cyclones at their closest approach — but several were highly damaging, so they are listed here. Showing the 8 most recent.

StormStatusClosest approachDistanceWind
Ida (2021)Post-tropical1 Sep 202142.4 mi30 kt
Zeta (2020)Post-tropical29 Oct 202042.5 mi45 kt
Cindy (2017)Remnant low24 Jun 201735.8 mi25 kt
Cindy (2005)Post-tropical8 Jul 200537.8 mi21 kt
Chris (1988)Post-tropical29 Aug 198815.4 mi20 kt
Hazel (1954)Post-tropical15 Oct 195435.8 mi75 kt
Unnamed Storm (1934)Post-tropical19 Jun 193432.1 mi40 kt
Unnamed Storm (1928)Post-tropical20 Sep 192834.7 mi47 kt
About this data. Computed from NOAA's HURDAT2 Atlantic and Northeast Pacific hurricane databases (hurdat2-1851-2025-02272026.txt), covering 1876–2025. Tracks are recorded every six hours and are interpolated to one-hour steps before distances are measured, so closest-approach figures are not distorted by the sampling interval. Distances are measured to the county's Census internal point, not to its nearest boundary, so a storm listed at 55 miles may still have crossed the coastline — see Methodology. Records before about 1900 are sparser and less precise than modern ones, and storms that stayed at sea were less likely to be recorded at all.

How Madison County, Virginia compares

Among the 2,208 U.S. counties and county-equivalents that have recorded at least one tropical cyclone within 50 miles, Madison County, Virginia ranks #924 — more exposed than 58.1% of them. Within Virginia it ranks #86 of 133, against a state average of 23.5 storms per county.

Notable storms

14 of the 17 storms made a documented landfall somewhere along their track.

How often to expect a storm

A return interval of 8.8 years does not mean storms arrive on a schedule. It is simply 17 storms spread over the 150 years from 1876 to 2025. 2 separate years saw more than one storm pass within 50 miles while decades have gone by with none. The longest recorded quiet stretch was 24 years, between 1915 and 1939. It has been 21 years since the last one; 2 of the 14 gaps in this record were longer than that.

Common questions

How many hurricanes have hit Madison County, Virginia?

3 tropical cyclones have passed within 50 miles of Madison County, Virginia at hurricane strength since 1876. Counting all tropical cyclones — including tropical storms and depressions — the total is 17.

When was the last hurricane in Madison County, Virginia?

Isabel (2003), on 19 September 2003, passing 25 miles away — 23 years ago. The most recent tropical cyclone of any strength was Ivan (2004) in 2004.

What was the strongest storm to affect Madison County, Virginia?

Unnamed Storm (1893), which reached 67 kt (77 mph) while within 50 miles; its closest approach was 22 miles.

How often do hurricanes hit Madison County, Virginia?

On average, one tropical cyclone passes within 50 miles every 8.8 years — 17 storms over the 150 years from 1876 to 2025, the end of the HURDAT2 record. That is a historical average, not a schedule or a forecast.

Nearby counties

Madison County, Virginia borders or sits close to 4 other counties with a published storm record. Culpeper County, Virginia has 21 on record.