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Carroll County, Virginia Tropical Cyclone History

No active tropical cyclones are within 500 miles of Carroll County, Virginia as of Thursday, 10 September 2026. Official forecasts at nhc.noaa.gov.

Since 1915, 14 tropical cyclones have passed within 50 miles of Carroll County, Virginia — about one every 7.9 years. Of those, 0 were at hurricane strength at their closest approach. The most recent was Zeta (2020), which passed 16 miles away on 29 October 2020.

14
Storms within 50 mi
0
At hurricane strength
7.9
Avg. years between
6
Years since the last

Storm tracks within 50 miles

Carroll County
TS / TDCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Each line is one storm track, coloured by the strongest category it reached while within 50 miles. The dashed ring marks that 50-mile radius; hairlines are one-degree graticule. Source: NOAA NHC HURDAT2.

Key facts

When storms arrive

5
JFMAMJJASOND
Storms by month of closest approach; the peak is highlighted and labelled. In Carroll County, Virginia, August is the most active month, with 5 of the 14 recorded storms (36%). The primary season runs August to October, accounting for 79% of all activity. The 1920s, 1950s, 1960s and 2020s are tied as the most active decades on record, with 2 storms. 0 of the 14 storms were major hurricanes (Category 3 or stronger) while within 50 miles.
JFMAMJJASOND
000011154200

Activity by decade

2
2
2
2
2000
Tropical cyclones passing within 50 miles, by decade, 1910s to 2020s. Decades with no storms are shown as empty columns. Comparing two equal 38-year windows inside the aircraft-reconnaissance era: 6 storms in 1950–1987 against 4 in 1988–2025.
1910s1920s1930s1940s1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
120122111102

Every tropical or subtropical cyclone within 50 miles

StormClosest approachDistanceStatusWind
Zeta (2020)29 Oct 202015.8 miTS / TD45 kt
Bertha (2020)28 May 202016.9 miTS / TD21 kt
Ivan (2004)17 Sep 200410.1 miTS / TD20 kt
Dennis (1999)6 Sep 199939.6 miTS / TD20 kt
Bob (1985)25 Jul 198536.0 miTS / TD30 kt
David (1979)5 Sep 197945.4 miTS / TD40 kt
Camille (1969)20 Aug 196946.7 miTS / TD25 kt
Abby (1968)9 Jun 196828.2 miTS / TD25 kt
Able (1952)31 Aug 195245.6 miTS / TD40 kt
Unnamed Storm (1952)28 Aug 195249.2 miTS / TD27 kt
Unnamed Storm (1949)29 Aug 194924.0 miTS / TD50 kt
Unnamed Storm (1927)3 Oct 192719.6 miTS / TD31 kt
Unnamed Storm (1920)23 Sep 19207.6 miTS / TD26 kt
Unnamed Storm (1915)3 Aug 191544.3 miTS / TD38 kt

Post-tropical and extratropical passes

A further 6 systems passed within 50 miles after losing tropical characteristics. These are excluded from the counts above because they were no longer tropical cyclones at their closest approach — but several were highly damaging, so they are listed here.

StormStatusClosest approachDistanceWind
Cindy (2005)Post-tropical7 Jul 200511.6 mi20 kt
Bill (2003)Post-tropical2 Jul 200311.7 mi20 kt
Chris (1988)Post-tropical29 Aug 198837.3 mi20 kt
Unnamed Storm (1907)Post-tropical23 Sep 190736.7 mi32 kt
Unnamed Storm (1905)Post-tropical11 Oct 190518.9 mi25 kt
Unnamed Storm (1902)Post-tropical12 Oct 190226.2 mi35 kt
About this data. Computed from NOAA's HURDAT2 Atlantic and Northeast Pacific hurricane databases (hurdat2-1851-2025-02272026.txt), covering 1915–2025. Tracks are recorded every six hours and are interpolated to one-hour steps before distances are measured, so closest-approach figures are not distorted by the sampling interval. Distances are measured to the county's Census internal point, not to its nearest boundary, so a storm listed at 55 miles may still have crossed the coastline — see Methodology. Records before about 1900 are sparser and less precise than modern ones, and storms that stayed at sea were less likely to be recorded at all.

How Carroll County, Virginia compares

Among the 2,208 U.S. counties and county-equivalents that have recorded at least one tropical cyclone within 50 miles, Carroll County, Virginia ranks #1,066 — more exposed than 51.7% of them. Within Virginia it ranks #106 of 133, against a state average of 23.5 storms per county.

Notable storms

13 of the 14 storms made a documented landfall somewhere along their track.

How often to expect a storm

A return interval of 7.9 years does not mean storms arrive on a schedule. It is simply 14 storms spread over the 111 years from 1915 to 2025. 2 separate years saw more than one storm pass within 50 miles while decades have gone by with none. The longest recorded quiet stretch was 22 years, between 1927 and 1949. It has been 5 years since the last one; 7 of the 11 gaps in this record were longer than that.

Common questions

Has a hurricane ever hit Carroll County, Virginia?

No. No tropical cyclone on record has passed within 50 miles of Carroll County, Virginia while at hurricane strength. 14 tropical cyclones have passed within that distance since 1915, all of them as tropical storms or depressions. The strongest was Unnamed Storm (1949).

When was the last tropical cyclone in Carroll County, Virginia?

Zeta (2020), on 29 October 2020, passing 16 miles away — 6 years ago. No storm on record has passed within 50 miles of Carroll County, Virginia at hurricane strength.

What was the strongest storm to affect Carroll County, Virginia?

Unnamed Storm (1949), which reached 50 kt (58 mph) while within 50 miles; its closest approach was 24 miles.

How often does a tropical storm reach Carroll County, Virginia?

On average, one tropical cyclone passes within 50 miles every 7.9 years — 14 storms over the 111 years from 1915 to 2025, the end of the HURDAT2 record. That is a historical average, not a schedule or a forecast.

Nearby counties

Carroll County, Virginia borders or sits close to 7 other counties with a published storm record. Surry County, North Carolina has 17 on record.