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McMullen County, Texas Tropical Cyclone History

No active tropical cyclones are within 500 miles of McMullen County, Texas as of Thursday, 10 September 2026. Official forecasts at nhc.noaa.gov.

Since 1851, 17 tropical cyclones have passed within 50 miles of McMullen County, Texas — about one every 10.3 years. Of those, 2 were at hurricane strength at their closest approach. The most recent was Hermine (2010), which passed 18 miles away on 7 September 2010.

17
Storms within 50 mi
2
At hurricane strength
10.3
Avg. years between
16
Years since the last

Storm tracks within 50 miles

McMullen County
TS / TDCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Each line is one storm track, coloured by the strongest category it reached while within 50 miles. The dashed ring marks that 50-mile radius; hairlines are one-degree graticule. Source: NOAA NHC HURDAT2.

How strong they get

Cat 2 · 1Cat 1 · 1TS / TD · 15
The 17 storms by the strongest category each reached while within 50 miles. 1 of them reached Cat 2.

Key facts

When storms arrive

5
5
JFMAMJJASOND
Storms by month of closest approach; the peak is highlighted and labelled. In McMullen County, Texas, August and September are tied as the most active months, with 5 of the 17 recorded storms (29%). Activity concentrates in June, August and September, together 82% of all storms. The 1930s was the most active decade on record, with 3 storms. 0 of the 17 storms were major hurricanes (Category 3 or stronger) while within 50 miles.
JFMAMJJASOND
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Activity by decade

3
19002000
Tropical cyclones passing within 50 miles, by decade, 1850s to 2010s. Decades with no storms are shown as empty columns. Comparing two equal 38-year windows inside the aircraft-reconnaissance era: 5 storms in 1950–1987 against 4 in 1988–2025.
1850s1860s1870s1880s1890s1900s1910s1920s1930s1940s1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s
11100020300221121

Every tropical or subtropical cyclone within 50 miles

StormClosest approachDistanceStatusWind
Hermine (2010)7 Sep 201018.0 miTS / TD42 kt
Claudette (2003)16 Jul 20038.1 miTS / TD47 kt
Fay (2002)7 Sep 200235.6 miTS / TD24 kt
Charley (1998)22 Aug 19985.8 miTS / TD26 kt
Danielle (1980)7 Sep 198042.6 miTS / TD20 kt
Amelia (1978)31 Jul 19783.0 miTS / TD32 kt
Celia (1970)4 Aug 19703.0 miCat 180 kt
Abby (1964)8 Aug 196435.6 miTS / TD21 kt
Unnamed Storm (1960)25 Jun 19609.5 miTS / TD25 kt
Unnamed Storm (1936)14 Sep 193649.6 miTS / TD30 kt
Unnamed Storm (1936)28 Jun 193635.0 miTS / TD40 kt
Unnamed Storm (1934)26 Jul 193412.1 miTS / TD53 kt
Unnamed Storm (1916)19 Aug 191641.5 miCat 165 kt
Unnamed Storm (1913)28 Jun 191330.0 miTS / TD40 kt
Unnamed Storm (1874)6 Sep 18749.9 miTS / TD30 kt
Unnamed Storm (1869)17 Aug 18697.1 miTS / TD43 kt
Unnamed Storm (1851)26 Jun 18517.4 miTS / TD57 kt

Post-tropical and extratropical passes

A further 1 system passed within 50 miles after losing tropical characteristics. These are excluded from the counts above because they were no longer tropical cyclones at their closest approach — but several were highly damaging, so they are listed here.

StormStatusClosest approachDistanceWind
Don (2011)Remnant low30 Jul 201149.9 mi25 kt
About this data. Computed from NOAA's HURDAT2 Atlantic and Northeast Pacific hurricane databases (hurdat2-1851-2025-02272026.txt), covering 1851–2025. Tracks are recorded every six hours and are interpolated to one-hour steps before distances are measured, so closest-approach figures are not distorted by the sampling interval. Distances are measured to the county's Census internal point, not to its nearest boundary, so a storm listed at 55 miles may still have crossed the coastline — see Methodology. Records before about 1900 are sparser and less precise than modern ones, and storms that stayed at sea were less likely to be recorded at all.

How McMullen County, Texas compares

Among the 2,208 U.S. counties and county-equivalents that have recorded at least one tropical cyclone within 50 miles, McMullen County, Texas ranks #918 — more exposed than 58.4% of them. Within Texas it ranks #85 of 223, against a state average of 15.7 storms per county.

Notable storms

13 of the 17 storms made a documented landfall somewhere along their track.

How often to expect a storm

A return interval of 10.3 years does not mean storms arrive on a schedule. It is simply 17 storms spread over the 175 years from 1851 to 2025. 1 separate year saw more than one storm pass within 50 miles while decades have gone by with none. The longest recorded quiet stretch was 39 years, between 1874 and 1913. It has been 15 years since the last one; 5 of the 15 gaps in this record were longer than that.

Common questions

How many hurricanes have hit McMullen County, Texas?

2 tropical cyclones have passed within 50 miles of McMullen County, Texas at hurricane strength since 1851. Counting all tropical cyclones — including tropical storms and depressions — the total is 17.

When was the last hurricane in McMullen County, Texas?

Celia (1970), on 4 August 1970, passing 3 miles away — 56 years ago. The most recent tropical cyclone of any strength was Hermine (2010) in 2010.

What was the strongest storm to affect McMullen County, Texas?

Celia (1970), which reached 90 kt (104 mph) while within 50 miles; its closest approach was 3 miles.

How often do hurricanes hit McMullen County, Texas?

On average, one tropical cyclone passes within 50 miles every 10.3 years — 17 storms over the 175 years from 1851 to 2025, the end of the HURDAT2 record. That is a historical average, not a schedule or a forecast.

Nearby counties

McMullen County, Texas borders or sits close to 4 other counties with a published storm record. Live Oak County, Texas has 26 on record.