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Karnes County, Texas Hurricane History

No active tropical cyclones are within 500 miles of Karnes County, Texas as of Thursday, 10 September 2026. Official forecasts at nhc.noaa.gov.

Since 1851, 28 tropical cyclones have passed within 50 miles of Karnes County, Texas — about one every 6.2 years. Of those, 6 were at hurricane strength at their closest approach. The most recent was Harvey (2017), which passed 22 miles away on 26 August 2017.

28
Storms within 50 mi
6
At hurricane strength
6.2
Avg. years between
9
Years since the last

Storm tracks within 50 miles

Karnes County
TS / TDCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Each line is one storm track, coloured by the strongest category it reached while within 50 miles. The dashed ring marks that 50-mile radius; hairlines are one-degree graticule. Source: NOAA NHC HURDAT2.

How strong they get

Cat 3 · 1Cat 2 · 1Cat 1 · 5TS / TD · 21
The 28 storms by the strongest category each reached while within 50 miles. 1 of them reached Cat 3.

Key facts

When storms arrive

10
JFMAMJJASOND
Storms by month of closest approach; the peak is highlighted and labelled. In Karnes County, Texas, September is the most active month, with 10 of the 28 recorded storms (36%). Activity concentrates in June, August and September, together 86% of all storms. The 1960s was the most active decade on record, with 4 storms. 1 of the 28 storms was major hurricane (Category 3 or stronger) while within 50 miles.
JFMAMJJASOND
0000063810100

Activity by decade

4
19002000
Tropical cyclones passing within 50 miles, by decade, 1850s to 2010s. Decades with no storms are shown as empty columns. Comparing two equal 38-year windows inside the aircraft-reconnaissance era: 7 storms in 1950–1987 against 7 in 1988–2025.
1850s1860s1870s1880s1890s1900s1910s1920s1930s1940s1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s
12330111111411232

Every tropical or subtropical cyclone within 50 miles

StormClosest approachDistanceStatusWind
Harvey (2017)26 Aug 201722.2 miTS / TD50 kt
Hermine (2010)7 Sep 201035.5 miTS / TD42 kt
Erin (2007)16 Aug 20075.0 miTS / TD25 kt
Claudette (2003)15 Jul 200326.5 miTS / TD57 kt
Fay (2002)7 Sep 20028.0 miTS / TD27 kt
Frances (1998)11 Sep 199838.4 miTS / TD40 kt
Charley (1998)22 Aug 199844.7 miTS / TD30 kt
Danielle (1980)6 Sep 19806.6 miTS / TD24 kt
Unnamed Storm (1970)2 Sep 197024.3 miTS / TD22 kt
Candy (1968)24 Jun 196831.5 miTS / TD53 kt
Abby (1964)8 Aug 19640.6 miTS / TD27 kt
Cindy (1963)19 Sep 196338.0 miTS / TD25 kt
Unnamed Storm (1960)25 Jun 19606.6 miTS / TD25 kt
Gerda (1958)21 Sep 195832.3 miTS / TD28 kt
Unnamed Storm (1942)30 Aug 194212.9 miCat 178 kt
Unnamed Storm (1936)28 Jun 193621.6 miTS / TD42 kt
Unnamed Storm (1929)29 Jun 192913.5 miTS / TD60 kt
Unnamed Storm (1912)17 Oct 19125.1 miTS / TD29 kt
Unnamed Storm (1902)27 Jun 190234.0 miTS / TD45 kt
Unnamed Storm (1886)24 Sep 188630.7 miTS / TD55 kt
Unnamed Storm (1886)20 Aug 18868.3 miCat 294 kt
Unnamed Storm (1881)14 Aug 18818.1 miTS / TD30 kt
Unnamed Storm (1875)17 Sep 187534.2 miCat 170 kt
Unnamed Storm (1874)6 Sep 187439.2 miTS / TD30 kt
Unnamed Storm (1874)5 Jul 187430.1 miTS / TD32 kt
Unnamed Storm (1869)17 Aug 186947.5 miTS / TD53 kt
Unnamed Storm (1866)16 Jul 186623.3 miTS / TD40 kt
Unnamed Storm (1851)26 Jun 185139.1 miTS / TD60 kt

Post-tropical and extratropical passes

No system on record passed within 50 miles of Karnes County, Texas after losing tropical characteristics, so every storm listed above was still a tropical or subtropical cyclone at its closest approach.

About this data. Computed from NOAA's HURDAT2 Atlantic and Northeast Pacific hurricane databases (hurdat2-1851-2025-02272026.txt), covering 1851–2025. Tracks are recorded every six hours and are interpolated to one-hour steps before distances are measured, so closest-approach figures are not distorted by the sampling interval. Distances are measured to the county's Census internal point, not to its nearest boundary, so a storm listed at 55 miles may still have crossed the coastline — see Methodology. Records before about 1900 are sparser and less precise than modern ones, and storms that stayed at sea were less likely to be recorded at all.

How Karnes County, Texas compares

Among the 2,208 U.S. counties and county-equivalents that have recorded at least one tropical cyclone within 50 miles, Karnes County, Texas ranks #572 — more exposed than 74.1% of them. Within Texas it ranks #44 of 223, against a state average of 15.7 storms per county.

Notable storms

24 of the 28 storms made a documented landfall somewhere along their track.

How often to expect a storm

A return interval of 6.2 years does not mean storms arrive on a schedule. It is simply 28 storms spread over the 175 years from 1851 to 2025. 3 separate years saw more than one storm pass within 50 miles while stretches of a decade or more have passed with none. The longest recorded quiet stretch was 18 years, between 1980 and 1998. It has been 8 years since the last one; 7 of the 24 gaps in this record were longer than that.

Common questions

How many hurricanes have hit Karnes County, Texas?

6 tropical cyclones have passed within 50 miles of Karnes County, Texas at hurricane strength since 1851. Counting all tropical cyclones — including tropical storms and depressions — the total is 28.

When was the last hurricane in Karnes County, Texas?

Claudette (2003), on 15 July 2003, passing 26 miles away — 23 years ago. The most recent tropical cyclone of any strength was Harvey (2017) in 2017.

What was the strongest storm to affect Karnes County, Texas?

Unnamed Storm (1886), which reached 112 kt (129 mph) while within 50 miles; its closest approach was 8 miles.

How often do hurricanes hit Karnes County, Texas?

On average, one tropical cyclone passes within 50 miles every 6.2 years — 28 storms over the 175 years from 1851 to 2025, the end of the HURDAT2 record. That is a historical average, not a schedule or a forecast.

Nearby counties

Karnes County, Texas borders or sits close to 7 other counties with a published storm record. Bee County, Texas has 31 on record.