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Carolina Municipio, Puerto Rico Hurricane History

No active tropical cyclones are within 500 miles of Carolina Municipio, Puerto Rico as of Thursday, 10 September 2026. Official forecasts at nhc.noaa.gov.

Since 1852, 43 tropical cyclones have passed within 50 miles of Carolina Municipio, Puerto Rico — about one every 4.0 years. Of those, 20 were at hurricane strength at their closest approach. The most recent was Ernesto (2024), which passed 35 miles away on 14 August 2024.

43
Storms within 50 mi
20
At hurricane strength
4.0
Avg. years between
2
Years since the last

Storm tracks within 50 miles

Carolina Municipio
TS / TDCat 1Cat 2Cat 3Cat 4Cat 5
Each line is one storm track, coloured by the strongest category it reached while within 50 miles. The dashed ring marks that 50-mile radius; hairlines are one-degree graticule. Source: NOAA NHC HURDAT2.

How strong they get

Cat 5 · 2Cat 4 · 3Cat 3 · 3Cat 2 · 5Cat 1 · 7TS / TD · 23
The 43 storms by the strongest category each reached while within 50 miles. 2 of them reached Cat 5.

Key facts

When storms arrive

20
JFMAMJJASOND
Storms by month of closest approach; the peak is highlighted and labelled. In Carolina Municipio, Puerto Rico, September is the most active month, with 20 of the 43 recorded storms (47%). The primary season runs July to September, accounting for 91% of all activity. The 1930s, 1970s and 2010s are tied as the most active decades on record, with 5 storms. 8 of the 43 storms were major hurricanes (Category 3 or stronger) while within 50 miles.
JFMAMJJASOND
00000031620121

Activity by decade

5
5
5
19002000
Tropical cyclones passing within 50 miles, by decade, 1850s to 2020s. Decades with no storms are shown as empty columns. Comparing two equal 38-year windows inside the aircraft-reconnaissance era: 10 storms in 1950–1987 against 14 in 1988–2025.
1850s1860s1870s1880s1890s1900s1910s1920s1930s1940s1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020s
212021225230532452

Every tropical or subtropical cyclone within 50 miles

StormClosest approachDistanceStatusWind
Ernesto (2024)14 Aug 202435.5 miTS / TD58 kt
Laura (2020)22 Aug 202047.4 miTS / TD45 kt
Karen (2019)24 Sep 201942.6 miTS / TD40 kt
Dorian (2019)28 Aug 201946.5 miCat 172 kt
Maria (2017)20 Sep 201720.4 miCat 4115 kt
Irma (2017)6 Sep 201745.2 miCat 5150 kt
Irene (2011)22 Aug 20119.3 miCat 166 kt
Olga (2007)11 Dec 20077.3 miTS / TD39 kt
Jeanne (2004)15 Sep 200425.5 miTS / TD60 kt
Dean (2001)22 Aug 200141.1 miTS / TD49 kt
Debby (2000)22 Aug 200038.1 miCat 165 kt
Georges (1998)21 Sep 199817.9 miCat 295 kt
Marilyn (1995)16 Sep 199538.6 miCat 295 kt
Hugo (1989)18 Sep 198914.4 miCat 3109 kt
Klaus (1984)7 Nov 198427.9 miTS / TD46 kt
Gert (1981)8 Sep 198112.3 miTS / TD48 kt
Frederic (1979)4 Sep 197920.5 miTS / TD45 kt
Claudette (1979)18 Jul 19795.0 miTS / TD30 kt
Eloise (1975)16 Sep 197545.6 miTS / TD37 kt
Christine (1973)4 Sep 197330.0 miTS / TD30 kt
Doria (1971)24 Aug 197128.2 miTS / TD25 kt
Betsy (1956)12 Aug 195626.3 miCat 284 kt
Dolly (1953)8 Sep 195311.7 miTS / TD33 kt
Baker (1950)23 Aug 195043.9 miTS / TD35 kt
Unnamed Storm (1949)3 Sep 194929.6 miTS / TD35 kt
Unnamed Storm (1940)5 Aug 194044.5 miTS / TD40 kt
Unnamed Storm (1938)8 Aug 193846.4 miTS / TD51 kt
Unnamed Storm (1933)26 Jul 193339.0 miCat 175 kt
Unnamed Storm (1932)27 Sep 193216.0 miCat 3104 kt
Unnamed Storm (1931)11 Sep 19317.4 miCat 172 kt
Unnamed Storm (1931)17 Aug 193142.3 miTS / TD35 kt
Unnamed Storm (1928)13 Sep 192823.7 miCat 5137 kt
Unnamed Storm (1924)19 Aug 192439.9 miTS / TD40 kt
Unnamed Storm (1916)22 Aug 191623.7 miCat 182 kt
Unnamed Storm (1916)13 Jul 19162.1 miTS / TD45 kt
Unnamed Storm (1901)12 Sep 19014.9 miTS / TD50 kt
Unnamed Storm (1899)8 Aug 189931.3 miCat 4120 kt
Unnamed Storm (1893)17 Aug 189322.9 miCat 398 kt
Unnamed Storm (1878)28 Nov 187830.9 miTS / TD60 kt
Unnamed Storm (1876)13 Sep 187620.6 miCat 290 kt
Unnamed Storm (1867)29 Oct 18675.0 miCat 287 kt
Unnamed Storm (1852)24 Sep 185249.8 miCat 170 kt
Unnamed Storm (1852)5 Sep 185246.7 miCat 168 kt

Post-tropical and extratropical passes

A further 1 system passed within 50 miles after losing tropical characteristics. These are excluded from the counts above because they were no longer tropical cyclones at their closest approach — but several were highly damaging, so they are listed here.

StormStatusClosest approachDistanceWind
Noel (2007)Remnant low26 Oct 200732.6 mi25 kt
About this data. Computed from NOAA's HURDAT2 Atlantic and Northeast Pacific hurricane databases (hurdat2-1851-2025-02272026.txt), covering 1852–2025. Tracks are recorded every six hours and are interpolated to one-hour steps before distances are measured, so closest-approach figures are not distorted by the sampling interval. Distances are measured to the municipio's Census internal point, not to its nearest boundary, so a storm listed at 55 miles may still have crossed the coastline — see Methodology. Records before about 1900 are sparser and less precise than modern ones, and storms that stayed at sea were less likely to be recorded at all.

How Carolina Municipio, Puerto Rico compares

Among the 2,208 U.S. counties and county-equivalents that have recorded at least one tropical cyclone within 50 miles, Carolina Municipio, Puerto Rico ranks #283 — more exposed than 87.2% of them. Within Puerto Rico it ranks #11 of 78, against a territory average of 38.4 storms per municipio.

Notable storms

23 of the 43 storms made a documented landfall somewhere along their track.

How often to expect a storm

A return interval of 4.0 years does not mean storms arrive on a schedule. It is simply 43 storms spread over the 174 years from 1852 to 2025. 6 separate years saw more than one storm pass within 50 miles while stretches of a decade or more have passed with none. The longest recorded quiet stretch was 15 years, between 1852 and 1867. It has been 1 year since the last one; 31 of the 36 gaps in this record were longer than that.

Common questions

How many hurricanes have hit Carolina Municipio, Puerto Rico?

20 tropical cyclones have passed within 50 miles of Carolina Municipio, Puerto Rico at hurricane strength since 1852. Counting all tropical cyclones — including tropical storms and depressions — the total is 43.

When was the last hurricane in Carolina Municipio, Puerto Rico?

Dorian (2019), on 28 August 2019, passing 47 miles away — 7 years ago. The most recent tropical cyclone of any strength was Ernesto (2024) in 2024.

What was the strongest storm to affect Carolina Municipio, Puerto Rico?

Irma (2017), which reached 150 kt (173 mph) while within 50 miles; its closest approach was 45 miles.

How often do hurricanes hit Carolina Municipio, Puerto Rico?

On average, one tropical cyclone passes within 50 miles every 4.0 years — 43 storms over the 174 years from 1852 to 2025, the end of the HURDAT2 record. That is a historical average, not a schedule or a forecast.

Nearby municipios

Carolina Municipio, Puerto Rico borders or sits close to 5 other municipios with a published storm record. San Juan Municipio, Puerto Rico has 44 on record.